Friday, 12 April 2013

Will the Reds reign supreme once more? - SFC preview


 With very little fanfare or build-up, the start of the senior football championship has crept up on us all of a sudden. The same format remains with two groups of six teams and this can lead to a rather drawn out process before we reach the business end. A minor tweak would be to grant the table toppers a semi final spot with the teams finishing in second and third spot battling it out in the quarter finals. It would certainly give a keener edge to the round robin phase.

No matter what system or structure is put in place, Stradbally always seem to come to the fore. Eight titles in twelve seasons and three in the last four is rock solid evidence of their consistency. They routinely hit their peak for the knockout rounds and time their run to perfection. They are very hard to break down and held The Nire goalless over 120 minutes to claim the Conway Cup in 2012. Their experience sees them through tight squeezes and the Ahearnes can operate anywhere from midfield up to the full forward line to great effect. The Reds remain the team to beat.

The Nire played ten games in last year’s championship and if Liam Lawlor remained on the field during the replay, they may have had silverware to show for it. The spine of the team contains familiar faces like the O’Gormans, Brian Wall, Shane Walsh and Liam Lawlor with newcomers Jamie Barron, Shane Ryan and Darren Guiry establishing themselves as starters. They utilised the kick pass to devastating effect during last year’s championship and their lethal attack targeted goals. Their defence is also a strong sector but they looked vulnerable under the high ball in both the drawn and replayed county finals. To go one step further, they will have to put their miserable losing sequence against Stradbally to bed. In typical fashion, these two teams ended all square in their Phelan Cup clash last weekend!

Ballinacourty must rediscover the appetite that brought them success in 2011. Their title defence never gathered pace after a slow start so they will seek to hit the ground running on Friday night. With a formidable forward line, they will be there or thereabouts yet again.

What about the chasing pack? Ardmore were the last team outside of the big three to reach a decider back in 2007 and there are a couple of contenders capable of making the breakthrough. Kilrossanty are worth watching. Although they have been slow out of the blocks, they made the semis in 2011 and pushed The Nire all the way in the best game of the championship last term. Tommy Prendergast is also beginning to boss the middle like he used to and he finished the league strongly in county colours.

Clashmore reached the last four in 2012 but they were outgunned in a shootout with The Nire. They built up a head of steam through the group stages and they grew in stature as the championship progressed. With some talented young footballers on board like Tadhg Bourke and Paul O’Connor, they will target the latter stages once more.

The other team in green and red started strongly last year by beating Ballinacourty but their slow build-up play became predictable and they need to become more direct and give Gavin Nugent and Edmomd Hogan more supply. An Rinn are consistent senior performers and have troubled the top teams but without claiming a notable scalp. It will be interesting to see if they can push on this time around. Their dual senior status may also have an impact on their challenge. Ardmore also have a couple of bolters breaking through with Seamus Keating leading the way. They are unbeaten in the Phelan Cup after three rounds and will continue to make life difficult for the big guns. They should make the knockout stages.

Ballinameela are back in the big time after gaining promotion at the first time of asking. In 2010, they were only a matter of seconds away from a county final appearance but three years on they may have a battle on their hands to avoid a relegation scrap. Brickey Rangers are also in danger of getting sucked in and they need to find some firepower. Their battling qualities may be sufficient to survive. Gaultier and St Saviours also face an uphill task and the latter may not make another great escape.

Stradbally start as favourites and deservedly so given their remarkable record. The Nire will be hungry however to avenge last year’s loss and to end a five year wait for the Conway Cup. If they can avoid injuries to key players, they look the most likely to stop Stradbally in their tracks.

Conway Cup Odds: Stradbally 2/1, The Nire 5/2, Ballinacourty 11/4, Kilrossanty 9/2, Clashmore 12/1, An Rinn 12/1, Rathgormack 25/1, Ardmore 25/1, Gaultier 33/1, Ballinameela 40/1, Brickey Rangers 50/1, St Saviours 66/1.

Round 1 Previews

12 April

Ballinacourty v An Rinn (8.00 at Fraher Field) Group 2
The pick of the first round fixtures gets the ball rolling on Friday night. Ballinacourty started in sluggish fashion last season and their work rate and intensity levels never reached the same heights of 2011. They will need to be at their best because Liam O’Lonain is in top form at the moment and Donie Breathnach can kick points off both left and right.
Odds: Ballinacourty 2/5 Draw 7/1 An Rinn 9/4                    
Prediction: Ballinacourty

13 April

Stradbally v Gaultier (7.00 at Walsh Park) Group 1
Stradbally rarely step outside Fraher Field but they make a rare trip to the other county ground this weekend. They don’t usually burst from the traps so this gives Gaultier a glimmer of hope. The Eastern outfit rely heavily on JJ Hutchinson for scores however and the Reds rearguard will put the squeeze on even if it is only the first round.
Odds: Stradbally 1/10 Draw 11/1 Gaultier 6/1
Prediction: Stradbally

Clashmore v Ardmore (7.00 at Fraher Field) Group 1
These two teams will target a positive start to set them up for a spot in the knockout stages. Ardmore hold the physical edge here but Clashmore have youth and speed on their side. This could turn into a lively contest with Clashmore fancied to shade the verdict.
Odds: Clashmore 8/13 Draw 13/2 Ardmore 6/4
Prediction: Clashmore

Rathgormack v Ballinameela (7.00 at Stradbally) Group 2
A toss of the euro here between two evenly matched outfits. In what could prove to be a low scoring battle, Rathgormack hold a few more aces in attack.
Odds: Rathgormack 2/5 Draw 15/2 Ballinameela 9/4
Prediction: Rathgormack

14 April

Kilrossanty v St Saviours (3.30 at Walsh Park) Group 1
Although Kilrossanty are short odds, this could prove to be a tricky assignment. If Saviours can start well they will make life difficult for John Kiely’s side at the city venue. Paul Whyte was the top scorer in last year’s championship and his accuracy could prove the difference here.
Odds: Kilrossanty 1/7 Draw 10/1 St Saviours 5/1
Prediction: Kilrossanty

The Nire v Brickey Rangers (7.00 at Fraher Field) Group 2
The Brickeys are full of fight but lacking in firepower and a goal threat. With experienced players throughout the field, The Nire should get up and running here with a comfortable win.
Odds: The Nire 1/20 Draw 12/1 Brickey Rangers 9/1
Prediction: The Nire
 

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